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PGA Tour: Favorites to win the Valspar Championship

  • PGA Tour: Favorites to win the Valspar Championship
    1/ Michael Reaves // Getty Images

    PGA Tour: Favorites to win the Valspar Championship

    This week's PGA tournament will see 144 of the world's top players tee off in Palm Harbor, Fla., for a prize purse of $6.7 million with the winner's share of that standing at $1.2 million. The field nearly doubles last week's 73 TPC Sawgrass competitors and will feature favorites like Sergio García, John Rahm, and world tour leader Dustin Johnson.

    Using data from Bovada, Stacker ranked the top 25 players based on their odds to win the tournament, with ties broken by 2019 strokes gained. For each golfer, you'll also find their world ranking, recent results, and detailed breakdowns of their strengths in terms of strokes gained.

    Tournament stats:

    - Prize purse: $6,700,000
    - Course: Innisbrook Golf Resort - Copperhead Course (Palm Harbor, Fla.)
    - Yardage: 7,340 yards
    - Par: 71
    - 2018 winner: Paul Casey
    - Weather:
    --- Thursday: sunnny (0% chance of precipitation), 70°/55°, 52% humidity
    --- Friday: sunnny (0% chance of precipitation), 68°/53°, 51% humidity
    --- Saturday: partly cloudy (0% chance of precipitation), 73°/53°, 52% humidity
    --- Sunday: partly cloudy (10% chance of precipitation), 77°/58°, 57% humidity

     

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  • #25: Branden Grace
    2/ Hanson K Joseph // Wikimedia Commons

    #25: Branden Grace

    - Odds to win: +7000
    - World ranking: 42
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
    - Last 5 results: T72 - T33 - CUT - T28 - 2

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.28 (PGA rank: 55)
    --- Green approach: 0.00 (PGA rank: 113)
    --- Around green: 0.04 (PGA rank: 93)
    --- Putting: -0.24 (PGA rank: 154)
    --- Total: 0.08 (PGA rank: 104)

  • #24: Charl Schwartzel
    3/ Keith Allison // Flickr

    #24: Charl Schwartzel

    - Odds to win: +6600
    - World ranking: 98
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T49 (score: 2)
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T16 - T6 - WD - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: -1.53 (PGA rank: 215)
    --- Green approach: 0.02 (PGA rank: 109)
    --- Around green: 0.22 (PGA rank: T49)
    --- Putting: 0.47 (PGA rank: 34)
    --- Total: -0.82 (PGA rank: 180)

  • #23: Adam Hadwin
    4/ Cliff Hawkins // Getty Images

    #23: Adam Hadwin

    - Odds to win: +5500
    - World ranking: 68
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T12 (score: -4)
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T33 - 75 - T18 - T44

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.57 (PGA rank: T16)
    --- Green approach: -0.38 (PGA rank: T169)
    --- Around green: -0.38 (PGA rank: 198)
    --- Putting: -0.03 (PGA rank: 120)
    --- Total: -0.23 (PGA rank: 140)

  • #22: Russell Knox
    5/ Sean M. Haffey // Getty Images

    #22: Russell Knox

    - Odds to win: +5500
    - World ranking: 62
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T16 (score: -3)
    - Last 5 results: T35 - T51 - T39 - T14 - T10

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.03 (PGA rank: 109)
    --- Green approach: 0.62 (PGA rank: 25)
    --- Around green: 0.24 (PGA rank: 45)
    --- Putting: -0.35 (PGA rank: 170)
    --- Total: 0.54 (PGA rank: 58)

  • #21: Tyrrell Hatton
    6/ Andrew Redington // Getty Images

    #21: Tyrrell Hatton

    - Odds to win: +5000
    - World ranking: 37
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T29 - T19 - CUT - T15

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.21 (PGA rank: 73)
    --- Green approach: -0.25 (PGA rank: 154)
    --- Around green: 0.54 (PGA rank: 6)
    --- Putting: 0.00 (PGA rank: T113)
    --- Total: 0.50 (PGA rank: 63)

  • #20: Sung-Jae Im
    7/ Michael Cohen // Getty Images

    #20: Sung-Jae Im

    - Odds to win: +5000
    - World ranking: 72
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T51 - CUT - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.48 (PGA rank: 28)
    --- Green approach: 0.45 (PGA rank: 39)
    --- Around green: 0.28 (PGA rank: 39)
    --- Putting: 0.00 (PGA rank: T115)
    --- Total: 1.21 (PGA rank: 27)

  • #19: Ryan Moore
    8/ Stanley Chou // Getty Images

    #19: Ryan Moore

    - Odds to win: +5000
    - World ranking: 82
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 5)
    - Last 5 results: T20 - T33 - T28 - CUT - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.13 (PGA rank: T87)
    --- Green approach: 0.43 (PGA rank: 41)
    --- Around green: 0.24 (PGA rank: 44)
    --- Putting: 0.48 (PGA rank: T31)
    --- Total: 1.27 (PGA rank: 21)

  • #18: Bubba Watson
    9/ Hone Morihana // Flickr

    #18: Bubba Watson

    - Odds to win: +4500
    - World ranking: 17
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: T56 - T17 - T27 - T15 - T4

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.93 (PGA rank: 3)
    --- Green approach: 0.16 (PGA rank: 80)
    --- Around green: -0.11 (PGA rank: 149)
    --- Putting: -0.45 (PGA rank: 179)
    --- Total: 0.54 (PGA rank: 57)

  • #17: Rafael Cabrera Bello
    10/ Marie-Lan Nguyen // Wikimedia Commons

    #17: Rafael Cabrera Bello

    - Odds to win: +4500
    - World ranking: 31
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T19 - T25 - T22

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.38 (PGA rank: 41)
    --- Green approach: -0.03 (PGA rank: 123)
    --- Around green: -0.13 (PGA rank: T151)
    --- Putting: 0.58 (PGA rank: 23)
    --- Total: 0.82 (PGA rank: T41)

  • #16: Louis Oosthuizen
    11/ Marie Guilpin // Flickr

    #16: Louis Oosthuizen

    - Odds to win: +4000
    - World ranking: 27
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T16 (score: -3)
    - Last 5 results: T56 - CUT - T25 - CUT - 4

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.11 (PGA rank: 94)
    --- Green approach: -0.13 (PGA rank: 142)
    --- Around green: 0.32 (PGA rank: 34)
    --- Putting: -0.51 (PGA rank: 186)
    --- Total: -0.21 (PGA rank: 134)

  • #15: Keegan Bradley
    12/ Tour Pro Golf Clubs // Flickr

    #15: Keegan Bradley

    - Odds to win: +4000
    - World ranking: 33
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T31 (score: -1)
    - Last 5 results: T16 - T46 - T10 - T51 - T67

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.24 (PGA rank: T61)
    --- Green approach: 1.01 (PGA rank: 6)
    --- Around green: -0.04 (PGA rank: 129)
    --- Putting: -0.80 (PGA rank: 207)
    --- Total: 0.41 (PGA rank: 73)

  • #14: Kevin Kisner
    13/ Cliff Hawkins // Getty Images

    #14: Kevin Kisner

    - Odds to win: +4000
    - World ranking: 50
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: T22 - T23 - T27 - T28 - T26

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.41 (PGA rank: 39)
    --- Green approach: 0.27 (PGA rank: 64)
    --- Around green: -0.32 (PGA rank: 189)
    --- Putting: 0.48 (PGA rank: T31)
    --- Total: 0.83 (PGA rank: 40)

  • #13: Brandt Snedeker
    14/ Killivt03 // Wikimedia Commons

    #13: Brandt Snedeker

    - Odds to win: +4000
    - World ranking: 46
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T31 (score: -1)
    - Last 5 results: T5 - T50 - CUT - T55 - T62

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: -0.34 (PGA rank: 174)
    --- Green approach: 0.01 (PGA rank: 111)
    --- Around green: 0.48 (PGA rank: 11)
    --- Putting: 0.78 (PGA rank: 11)
    --- Total: 0.93 (PGA rank: 36)

  • #12: Jason Kokrak
    15/ Jeff Gross // Getty Images

    #12: Jason Kokrak

    - Odds to win: +4000
    - World ranking: 90
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
    - Last 5 results: T47 - T10 - T9 - T37 - T20

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.48 (PGA rank: 27)
    --- Green approach: 1.08 (PGA rank: 4)
    --- Around green: -0.06 (PGA rank: 133)
    --- Putting: -0.21 (PGA rank: T151)
    --- Total: 1.29 (PGA rank: 20)

  • #11: Lucas Glover
    16/ Keith Allison // Flickr

    #11: Lucas Glover

    - Odds to win: +4000
    - World ranking: 84
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T74 (score: 7)
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T10 - T4 - T7 - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.36 (PGA rank: 46)
    --- Green approach: 0.68 (PGA rank: 21)
    --- Around green: 0.18 (PGA rank: T57)
    --- Putting: 0.28 (PGA rank: T65)
    --- Total: 1.49 (PGA rank: 14)

  • #10: Jim Furyk
    17/ Keith Allison // Flickr

    #10: Jim Furyk

    - Odds to win: +3300
    - World ranking: 57
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: 7 (score: -6)
    - Last 5 results: 2 - T9 - T37 - T14 - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.06 (PGA rank: 103)
    --- Green approach: 0.76 (PGA rank: 13)
    --- Around green: 0.38 (PGA rank: 25)
    --- Putting: 0.42 (PGA rank: 39)
    --- Total: 1.62 (PGA rank: 9)

  • #9: Henrik Stenson
    18/ Omar Rawlings // Flickr

    #9: Henrik Stenson

    - Odds to win: +3300
    - World ranking: 39
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 6)
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T17 - T54 - CUT - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained: player not eligible for ranking

  • #8: Paul Casey
    19/ SD Dirk // Flickr

    #8: Paul Casey

    - Odds to win: +2200
    - World ranking: 15
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: 1 (score: -10)
    - Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T25 - 2 - CUT

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.57 (PGA rank: 15)
    --- Green approach: 0.23 (PGA rank: T69)
    --- Around green: 0.25 (PGA rank: 42)
    --- Putting: -0.52 (PGA rank: 189)
    --- Total: 0.53 (PGA rank: 59)

  • #7: Gary Woodland
    20/ Peetlesnumber1 // Wikimedia Commons

    #7: Gary Woodland

    - Odds to win: +2200
    - World ranking: 23
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 4)
    - Last 5 results: T30 - T36 - T17 - T7 - T9

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.79 (PGA rank: 6)
    --- Green approach: 0.61 (PGA rank: 28)
    --- Around green: 0.22 (PGA rank: T49)
    --- Putting: -0.15 (PGA rank: T140)
    --- Total: 1.48 (PGA rank: 15)

  • #6: Patrick Reed
    21/ Peetlesnumber1 // Wikimedia Commons

    #6: Patrick Reed

    - Odds to win: +2000
    - World ranking: 16
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T2 (score: -9)
    - Last 5 results: T47 - T50 - T14 - T22 - 56

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: -0.01 (PGA rank: T116)
    --- Green approach: -0.16 (PGA rank: 147)
    --- Around green: 0.41 (PGA rank: 18)
    --- Putting: 0.51 (PGA rank: 29)
    --- Total: 0.76 (PGA rank: 45)

  • #5: Webb Simpson
    22/ Hone Morihana // Flickr

    #5: Webb Simpson

    - Odds to win: +2000
    - World ranking: 20
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
    - Last 5 results: T16 - T36 - T39 - T20 - T8

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: -0.06 (PGA rank: 129)
    --- Green approach: 0.71 (PGA rank: 17)
    --- Around green: 0.45 (PGA rank: 12)
    --- Putting: 0.25 (PGA rank: 70)
    --- Total: 1.34 (PGA rank: 18)

  • #4: Sergio Garcia
    23/ Usien // Wikimedia Commons

    #4: Sergio Garcia

    - Odds to win: +1600
    - World ranking: 26
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: 4 (score: -8)
    - Last 5 results: T22 - T9 - T6 - T37 - DQ

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.29 (PGA rank: 53)
    --- Green approach: 1.37 (PGA rank: 1)
    --- Around green: -0.15 (PGA rank: 158)
    --- Putting: 0.13 (PGA rank: 86)
    --- Total: 1.64 (PGA rank: 8)

  • #3: Jason Day
    24/ Omar Rawlings // Flickr

    #3: Jason Day

    - Odds to win: +1200
    - World ranking: 12
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: T8 - T4 - T5 - 13 - 16

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.85 (PGA rank: 5)
    --- Green approach: -0.01 (PGA rank: T119)
    --- Around green: 0.16 (PGA rank: 61)
    --- Putting: 0.94 (PGA rank: 5)
    --- Total: 1.94 (PGA rank: 5)

  • #2: Jon Rahm
    25/ Robert Laberge // Getty Images

    #2: Jon Rahm

    - Odds to win: +1000
    - World ranking: 10
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: T12 - T45 - T9 - T10 - T5

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.98 (PGA rank: 2)
    --- Green approach: 0.29 (PGA rank: 59)
    --- Around green: -0.01 (PGA rank: 120)
    --- Putting: 0.20 (PGA rank: 74)
    --- Total: 1.46 (PGA rank: 16)

  • #1: Dustin Johnson
    26/ Keith Allison // Flickr

    #1: Dustin Johnson

    - Odds to win: +550
    - World ranking: 1
    - 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
    - Last 5 results: T5 - 1 - T9 - T45 - 1

    - 2019 PGA strokes gained:
    --- Off the tee: 0.54 (PGA rank: 22)
    --- Green approach: 0.98 (PGA rank: 7)
    --- Around green: 0.39 (PGA rank: T21)
    --- Putting: 0.68 (PGA rank: T16)
    --- Total: 2.58 (PGA rank: 2)

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