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PGA Tour: Favorites to win the Valspar Championship

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Michael Reaves // Getty Images

PGA Tour: Favorites to win the Valspar Championship

This week's PGA tournament will see 144 of the world's top players tee off in Palm Harbor, Fla., for a prize purse of $6.7 million with the winner's share of that standing at $1.2 million. The field nearly doubles last week's 73 TPC Sawgrass competitors and will feature favorites like Sergio García, John Rahm, and world tour leader Dustin Johnson.

Using data from Bovada, Stacker ranked the top 25 players based on their odds to win the tournament, with ties broken by 2019 strokes gained. For each golfer, you'll also find their world ranking, recent results, and detailed breakdowns of their strengths in terms of strokes gained.

Tournament stats:

- Prize purse: $6,700,000
- Course: Innisbrook Golf Resort - Copperhead Course (Palm Harbor, Fla.)
- Yardage: 7,340 yards
- Par: 71
- 2018 winner: Paul Casey
- Weather:
--- Thursday: sunnny (0% chance of precipitation), 70°/55°, 52% humidity
--- Friday: sunnny (0% chance of precipitation), 68°/53°, 51% humidity
--- Saturday: partly cloudy (0% chance of precipitation), 73°/53°, 52% humidity
--- Sunday: partly cloudy (10% chance of precipitation), 77°/58°, 57% humidity

 

RELATED: Best golf course in every state

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Hanson K Joseph // Wikimedia Commons

#25: Branden Grace

- Odds to win: +7000
- World ranking: 42
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
- Last 5 results: T72 - T33 - CUT - T28 - 2

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.28 (PGA rank: 55)
--- Green approach: 0.00 (PGA rank: 113)
--- Around green: 0.04 (PGA rank: 93)
--- Putting: -0.24 (PGA rank: 154)
--- Total: 0.08 (PGA rank: 104)

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Keith Allison // Flickr

#24: Charl Schwartzel

- Odds to win: +6600
- World ranking: 98
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T49 (score: 2)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T16 - T6 - WD - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -1.53 (PGA rank: 215)
--- Green approach: 0.02 (PGA rank: 109)
--- Around green: 0.22 (PGA rank: T49)
--- Putting: 0.47 (PGA rank: 34)
--- Total: -0.82 (PGA rank: 180)

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Cliff Hawkins // Getty Images

#23: Adam Hadwin

- Odds to win: +5500
- World ranking: 68
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T12 (score: -4)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T33 - 75 - T18 - T44

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.57 (PGA rank: T16)
--- Green approach: -0.38 (PGA rank: T169)
--- Around green: -0.38 (PGA rank: 198)
--- Putting: -0.03 (PGA rank: 120)
--- Total: -0.23 (PGA rank: 140)

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Sean M. Haffey // Getty Images

#22: Russell Knox

- Odds to win: +5500
- World ranking: 62
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T16 (score: -3)
- Last 5 results: T35 - T51 - T39 - T14 - T10

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.03 (PGA rank: 109)
--- Green approach: 0.62 (PGA rank: 25)
--- Around green: 0.24 (PGA rank: 45)
--- Putting: -0.35 (PGA rank: 170)
--- Total: 0.54 (PGA rank: 58)

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Andrew Redington // Getty Images

#21: Tyrrell Hatton

- Odds to win: +5000
- World ranking: 37
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: CUT - T29 - T19 - CUT - T15

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.21 (PGA rank: 73)
--- Green approach: -0.25 (PGA rank: 154)
--- Around green: 0.54 (PGA rank: 6)
--- Putting: 0.00 (PGA rank: T113)
--- Total: 0.50 (PGA rank: 63)

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Michael Cohen // Getty Images

#20: Sung-Jae Im

- Odds to win: +5000
- World ranking: 72
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T51 - CUT - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.48 (PGA rank: 28)
--- Green approach: 0.45 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Around green: 0.28 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Putting: 0.00 (PGA rank: T115)
--- Total: 1.21 (PGA rank: 27)

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Stanley Chou // Getty Images

#19: Ryan Moore

- Odds to win: +5000
- World ranking: 82
- 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 5)
- Last 5 results: T20 - T33 - T28 - CUT - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.13 (PGA rank: T87)
--- Green approach: 0.43 (PGA rank: 41)
--- Around green: 0.24 (PGA rank: 44)
--- Putting: 0.48 (PGA rank: T31)
--- Total: 1.27 (PGA rank: 21)

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Hone Morihana // Flickr

#18: Bubba Watson

- Odds to win: +4500
- World ranking: 17
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T56 - T17 - T27 - T15 - T4

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.93 (PGA rank: 3)
--- Green approach: 0.16 (PGA rank: 80)
--- Around green: -0.11 (PGA rank: 149)
--- Putting: -0.45 (PGA rank: 179)
--- Total: 0.54 (PGA rank: 57)

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Marie-Lan Nguyen // Wikimedia Commons

#17: Rafael Cabrera Bello

- Odds to win: +4500
- World ranking: 31
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T19 - T25 - T22

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.38 (PGA rank: 41)
--- Green approach: -0.03 (PGA rank: 123)
--- Around green: -0.13 (PGA rank: T151)
--- Putting: 0.58 (PGA rank: 23)
--- Total: 0.82 (PGA rank: T41)

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Marie Guilpin // Flickr

#16: Louis Oosthuizen

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 27
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T16 (score: -3)
- Last 5 results: T56 - CUT - T25 - CUT - 4

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.11 (PGA rank: 94)
--- Green approach: -0.13 (PGA rank: 142)
--- Around green: 0.32 (PGA rank: 34)
--- Putting: -0.51 (PGA rank: 186)
--- Total: -0.21 (PGA rank: 134)

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Tour Pro Golf Clubs // Flickr

#15: Keegan Bradley

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 33
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T31 (score: -1)
- Last 5 results: T16 - T46 - T10 - T51 - T67

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.24 (PGA rank: T61)
--- Green approach: 1.01 (PGA rank: 6)
--- Around green: -0.04 (PGA rank: 129)
--- Putting: -0.80 (PGA rank: 207)
--- Total: 0.41 (PGA rank: 73)

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Cliff Hawkins // Getty Images

#14: Kevin Kisner

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 50
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T22 - T23 - T27 - T28 - T26

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.41 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Green approach: 0.27 (PGA rank: 64)
--- Around green: -0.32 (PGA rank: 189)
--- Putting: 0.48 (PGA rank: T31)
--- Total: 0.83 (PGA rank: 40)

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Killivt03 // Wikimedia Commons

#13: Brandt Snedeker

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 46
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T31 (score: -1)
- Last 5 results: T5 - T50 - CUT - T55 - T62

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -0.34 (PGA rank: 174)
--- Green approach: 0.01 (PGA rank: 111)
--- Around green: 0.48 (PGA rank: 11)
--- Putting: 0.78 (PGA rank: 11)
--- Total: 0.93 (PGA rank: 36)

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Jeff Gross // Getty Images

#12: Jason Kokrak

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 90
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
- Last 5 results: T47 - T10 - T9 - T37 - T20

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.48 (PGA rank: 27)
--- Green approach: 1.08 (PGA rank: 4)
--- Around green: -0.06 (PGA rank: 133)
--- Putting: -0.21 (PGA rank: T151)
--- Total: 1.29 (PGA rank: 20)

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Keith Allison // Flickr

#11: Lucas Glover

- Odds to win: +4000
- World ranking: 84
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T74 (score: 7)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T10 - T4 - T7 - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.36 (PGA rank: 46)
--- Green approach: 0.68 (PGA rank: 21)
--- Around green: 0.18 (PGA rank: T57)
--- Putting: 0.28 (PGA rank: T65)
--- Total: 1.49 (PGA rank: 14)

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Keith Allison // Flickr

#10: Jim Furyk

- Odds to win: +3300
- World ranking: 57
- 2018 Valspar Championship: 7 (score: -6)
- Last 5 results: 2 - T9 - T37 - T14 - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.06 (PGA rank: 103)
--- Green approach: 0.76 (PGA rank: 13)
--- Around green: 0.38 (PGA rank: 25)
--- Putting: 0.42 (PGA rank: 39)
--- Total: 1.62 (PGA rank: 9)

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Omar Rawlings // Flickr

#9: Henrik Stenson

- Odds to win: +3300
- World ranking: 39
- 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 6)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T17 - T54 - CUT - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained: player not eligible for ranking

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SD Dirk // Flickr

#8: Paul Casey

- Odds to win: +2200
- World ranking: 15
- 2018 Valspar Championship: 1 (score: -10)
- Last 5 results: CUT - T3 - T25 - 2 - CUT

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.57 (PGA rank: 15)
--- Green approach: 0.23 (PGA rank: T69)
--- Around green: 0.25 (PGA rank: 42)
--- Putting: -0.52 (PGA rank: 189)
--- Total: 0.53 (PGA rank: 59)

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Peetlesnumber1 // Wikimedia Commons

#7: Gary Woodland

- Odds to win: +2200
- World ranking: 23
- 2018 Valspar Championship: CUT (score: 4)
- Last 5 results: T30 - T36 - T17 - T7 - T9

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.79 (PGA rank: 6)
--- Green approach: 0.61 (PGA rank: 28)
--- Around green: 0.22 (PGA rank: T49)
--- Putting: -0.15 (PGA rank: T140)
--- Total: 1.48 (PGA rank: 15)

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Peetlesnumber1 // Wikimedia Commons

#6: Patrick Reed

- Odds to win: +2000
- World ranking: 16
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T2 (score: -9)
- Last 5 results: T47 - T50 - T14 - T22 - 56

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -0.01 (PGA rank: T116)
--- Green approach: -0.16 (PGA rank: 147)
--- Around green: 0.41 (PGA rank: 18)
--- Putting: 0.51 (PGA rank: 29)
--- Total: 0.76 (PGA rank: 45)

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Hone Morihana // Flickr

#5: Webb Simpson

- Odds to win: +2000
- World ranking: 20
- 2018 Valspar Championship: T8 (score: -5)
- Last 5 results: T16 - T36 - T39 - T20 - T8

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: -0.06 (PGA rank: 129)
--- Green approach: 0.71 (PGA rank: 17)
--- Around green: 0.45 (PGA rank: 12)
--- Putting: 0.25 (PGA rank: 70)
--- Total: 1.34 (PGA rank: 18)

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Usien // Wikimedia Commons

#4: Sergio Garcia

- Odds to win: +1600
- World ranking: 26
- 2018 Valspar Championship: 4 (score: -8)
- Last 5 results: T22 - T9 - T6 - T37 - DQ

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.29 (PGA rank: 53)
--- Green approach: 1.37 (PGA rank: 1)
--- Around green: -0.15 (PGA rank: 158)
--- Putting: 0.13 (PGA rank: 86)
--- Total: 1.64 (PGA rank: 8)

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Omar Rawlings // Flickr

#3: Jason Day

- Odds to win: +1200
- World ranking: 12
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T8 - T4 - T5 - 13 - 16

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.85 (PGA rank: 5)
--- Green approach: -0.01 (PGA rank: T119)
--- Around green: 0.16 (PGA rank: 61)
--- Putting: 0.94 (PGA rank: 5)
--- Total: 1.94 (PGA rank: 5)

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Robert Laberge // Getty Images

#2: Jon Rahm

- Odds to win: +1000
- World ranking: 10
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T12 - T45 - T9 - T10 - T5

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.98 (PGA rank: 2)
--- Green approach: 0.29 (PGA rank: 59)
--- Around green: -0.01 (PGA rank: 120)
--- Putting: 0.20 (PGA rank: 74)
--- Total: 1.46 (PGA rank: 16)

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Keith Allison // Flickr

#1: Dustin Johnson

- Odds to win: +550
- World ranking: 1
- 2018 Valspar Championship: did not participate
- Last 5 results: T5 - 1 - T9 - T45 - 1

- 2019 PGA strokes gained:
--- Off the tee: 0.54 (PGA rank: 22)
--- Green approach: 0.98 (PGA rank: 7)
--- Around green: 0.39 (PGA rank: T21)
--- Putting: 0.68 (PGA rank: T16)
--- Total: 2.58 (PGA rank: 2)

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