In the gambling sphere, props are often designated as the “degenerate bets.” This is when sports bettors grasping at straws look to scratch and claw their way out of the red and in desperation, attempt to predict how many completions the redshirt sophomore quarterback at Utah State might have in his first game back from a separated shoulder. A crude example? Maybe, but novelty bets add an extra wrinkle of unpredictability to the already dangerous game of sports gambling.
For the Super Bowl though, better judgment is often kicked to the curb and gamblers of all expertise can join hands in making the Sunday spectacle as entertaining as possible. Among the standard Super Bowl prop bets—coin toss result, length of the national anthem—there are also more topical and downright wacky wagers to cast, such as the number of tweets sent by President Donald Trump throughout the day. And at 8-to-1 odds, there’s actually the option to gamble on a fan storming the field.
Using data provided by OddsShark from Jan. 22, Stacker looked at 73 of the most compelling props to keep even non-football fans engaged this Super Bowl Sunday on Feb. 3.
Read on to discover which bets pique your interest.
Available bets: Heads (-105), Tails (-105)
The simplest, yet most popular of all the Super Bowl prop bets is the coin toss, which is as close to a 50/50 chance as you’ll get, making this wager especially appealing for the novice bettor. Of the 52 Super Bowls, the toss has shown heads 25 times and tails 27 times.
Available bets: Tom Brady (NE) (+110), Jared Goff (LA) (+225), Todd Gurley (LA) (+1,300), Sony Michel (NE) (+1,600), C.J. Anderson (LA) (+2,000), Aaron Donald (LA) (+2,000), James White (NE) (+2,000), Julian Edelman (NE) (+2,500)
Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, who is making his ninth Super Bowl appearance, is the favorite to earn Super Bowl most valuable player honors. The future Hall of Famer has already won the award four times (most all-time), and seeks to further tack onto that record. The MVP will all but certainly be a member of the winning team—only once in Super Bowl history has the award been given to a player on the losing side when Chuck Howley of the Dallas Cowboys took home the trophy despite his team losing to the Baltimore Colts.
Available bets: Teammates (+175), God (+190), Family or family member (+500), Owner (+550), City (+1,000), Coach (+1,100), Does not mention any of the above (+400)
With emotions running high after a feat few NFL players can say they’ve accomplished, even the Super Bowl MVP himself may not know what words will first escape his mouth in that moment. Last year, Super Bowl LII MVP Nick Foles gave glory to God before all in his acceptance speech.
Available bets: Over 1:45 (-140), Under 1:45 (Even)
The national anthem is another popular prop bet—the over/under of length of the rendition itself being the most well-known bet. Last year, the line was set at 2-minutes flat when Pink performed, and the pop star finished in 1 minute and 52 seconds. Gladys Knight is expected to have a shorter time than most—only one of the last 11 performances has come in under 105 seconds—but it’s possible the Atlanta native really takes in the moment.
Available bets: Yes (-175), No (+135)
The "Empress of Soul” is favored to be wearing either a skirt, dress, or gown for her national anthem rendition, according to the odds. While this is tough to predict, Gladys Knight wore a beautiful flowing gown in a recent performance at the American Music Awards, as she paid tribute to the late Aretha Franklin.
Available bets: Yes (+300), No (-500)
Gladys Knight is a Rock & Roll Hall of Famer, so the assumption is that she’ll be prepared not to omit a word from "The Star-Spangled Banner.” But mistakes happen and the 74 year old will be singing in front of her hometown of Atlanta where jitters could potentially set in.
Available bets: Yes (+400), No (-700)
In 2016, San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick protested against racial injustice with a peaceful protest when he began taking a knee during the national anthem before games. Many players followed, but there has been far less kneeling during the anthem this season, which is why the odds stand 7-to-1 against the action taking place before the big game. Players on both the Rams and Patriots have kneeled in the past, but none have been recorded doing so during the 2018 season.
Available bets: Yes (-110), No (-130)
The Patriots and Rams possess the ability to score fast. Both teams rank near the top of the league in pace of play and points per game. This prop is basically a toss-up according to oddsmakers. It should be noted that there were scoring drives by both teams shorter than Pink’s national anthem rendition in last year’s Super Bowl.
Available bets: Over 6 (-120), Under 6 (-120)
The president only tweeted twice on Super Bowl Sunday last season, and not at all during the actual game, which might make the over/under feel high, but then again, Donald Trump has a long history of tweeting about the big game. He already made headlines after tweeting congratulations to the Patriots on advancing to the Super Bowl, but not for the Rams.
Available bets: Yes (+450), No (-850)
Despite chummy relationships with Tom Brady, coach Bill Belichick, and owner Robert Kraft, Donald Trump has not attended the Super Bowl either time the Patriots have advanced in the two years since he’s been elected president. Actually, a sitting president has never attended the Super Bowl.
Available bets: Lime/green/yellow (+225), Orange (+300), Blue (+375), Red (+400), Clear/water (+400), Purple (+1,000)
The famed "Gatorade Shower” allegedly became popular during the 1984 season, when New York Giants defensive lineman Jim Burt doused head coach Bill Parcells as a prank, which the dour Parcells—rather unexpectedly—took well to. Since then, there’s been a healthy mix of colors used. From 2007–2010, clear liquid made a run. Orange was a favorite for both the New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers in their most recent Super Bowl victories. Last year, yellow was the color of the liquid drenching Philadelphia Eagles coach Doug Pederson, making it the favorite for this year as well.
Available bets: Yes (+800), No (-2,500)
The biggest stages can sometimes bring out the craziest in people, as seen during this year’s AFC title game when a fan ran onto the field with a "VOTE TRUMP” sign. But as a wildly unpredictable prop to bet with terrible odds, this might be a good one to stay away from.
Available bets: Over 7.5 (-120), Under 7.5 (-120)
This year’s Super Bowl performance is headlined by Maroon 5, with guests Travis Scott and Big Boi. Last year, Justin Timberlake played a staggering 11 songs during the halftime spectacle, but for reference, Lady Gaga played only seven songs the year prior. The last time there were three scheduled performers—Coldplay, Beyonce, and Bruno Mars in 2016—nine songs were played.
Available bets: "One More Night" (+300), "Makes Me Wonder" (+500), "Sugar" (+550), "Animals" (+600), "Girls Like You" (+600), "Moves like Jagger" (+600), "Don't Wanna Know" (+700), "Payphone" (+1,000), "Maps" (+1,500), "She Will Be Loved" (+1,500), "This Love" (+1,500)
On their recent tour this past fall, Maroon 5 opened many of their larger shows, including a sold out show at Madison Square Garden, with "What Lovers Do.” However, with that song featuring SZA, and Travis Scott and Big Boi being the featured artists alongside Maroon 5, that’s not even on the board. Both "Payphone” and "This Love” have found themselves high atop Maroon 5 setlists throughout 2018, making them good dark horse picks with great returns.
Available bets: Black (-200), Any other color (+150)
Adam Levine often dons black during his performances with Maroon 5, which is why this prop has the odds it does. While this bet isn’t as high-risk as others, it’s another fun reason to root for something other than football on Feb. 3.
Available bets: Yes (-110), No (-130)
Unless you know someone in the Adam Levine camp, this prop is wildly unpredictable. Levine is often photographed wearing hats in his personal life, but not as much in concert. This could be a game-time decision for the popstar.
Available bets: Yes (-400), No (+250)
"Mic Jack” was a staple in Big Boi’s setlist this past year, and with Adam Levine—who is featured in the song—sharing a stage with the Atlanta rapper, oddsmakers assume this track will be played. But with limited time to squeeze in a lot of music, Maroon 5 could opt for more popular songs.
Available bets: Yes (+250), No (-400)
While Christina Aguilera and Adam Levine have collaborated on plenty of hit songs and worked together on NBC’s "The Voice,” it’s more likely that the Super Bowl being on CBS will mean that callbacks to that hit show will likely be avoided. While she does not currently have any concerts scheduled that would conflict with this date, as a New York native and California resident, she also has no concrete ties to the city of Atlanta.
Available bets: Yes (+350), No (-600)
Now known as one of the gutsiest play calls in Super Bowl history, Eagles coach Doug Pederson’s "Philly Special” on fourth-and-goal late in the first half resulted in tight end Trey Burton hitting quarterback Nick Foles for a touchdown. With the creativity of both New England’s Josh McDaniels and Los Angeles’ offensive mastermind Sean McVay, an attempt is not out of the question. But Foles’ touchdown reception may be so fresh in everyone’s mind that both defenses will be overprepared. The "Philly Special” was far from the first of its kind, as non-quarterback touchdown passes go. In Super Bowl XL, Steelers receiver Antwaan Randle El threw a 43-yard touchdown to Hines Ward.
Available bets: Yes (+275), No (-450)
Both starting Super Bowl quarterbacks—Tom Brady and Jared Goff—averaged under 300 passing yards during the regular season. Brady, however, has thrown for nearly 350 yards in each of his postseason starts this season, and threw for a whopping 505 yards in last year’s Super Bowl loss to the Eagles.
Available bets: Yes (+155), No (-220)
Last year, both Corey Clement and Zach Ertz had receiving touchdowns reviewed by officials and both rulings were upheld in the Eagles' favor. While the NFL’s rules of what is and is not a catch is a running punchline, further clarification on the rules this season—coupled with the fact that the league puts together an all-star crew of officials for its biggest and most important spectacle—means that there’s a good chance of a mostly clean game called on the field. The folks in New Orleans likely don’t want to hear about this.
Available bets: Yes (+700), No (-1,600)
While the odds of this happening are slim, emotions can run high in the biggest game of the year. And if anyone is most likely to cause an altercation, fingers could be pointed at Rams defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, who is widely considered the league’s dirtiest player.
Available bets: Yes (+325), No (-550)
The Patriots and Rams have scored a combined 134 points so far this postseason. During the regular season, Los Angeles was the second-highest scoring team in the league, averaging 32.9 points per game. New England was not far behind as the fifth best with 27.3 point per game.
Even if both teams performed to their incredibly impressive averages, it would still be a longshot for them to break the scoring record set by the San Francisco 49ers and San Diego Chargers in Super Bowl XXIX. Plus, establishing the run and controlling possession may be the key for each team, meaning getting into a shootout will be exactly what they’re trying to avoid.
Available bets: Yes (+375), No (-605)
Now that Chicago Bears’ kicker Cody Parkey has been eliminated from the postseason, the odds of a ball hitting an upright may have gone down. The Super Bowl features two of the most accurate kickers in the NFL: the Rams’ Greg Zuerlein is 7-of-8 on field goals and 5-of-5 on extra points during the playoffs, while the Patriots’ Stephen Gostkowski is perfect on field goals and extra points.
Available bets: Yes (+900), No (-3,500)
Both Bill Belichick and Sean McVay are no strangers to taking risks on fourth down. The Patriots are fresh off of last year’s record-setting Super Bowl in which they became the first team to not punt at all during the big game. But if there is anything to be learned from their Conference Championship victories, it’s that both the Rams and Patriots defenses are capable of stopping high-powered offenses.
Available bets: Yes (+575), No (-1,100)
Even Super Bowl Sunday isn’t an occasion large enough for Chick-Fil-A to break their long-standing rule. Unless the fast food giant is pulling a prank on the entire nation by misreporting their plans, it appears that Super Bowl attendees will have to do without chicken sandwiches and waffle fries come Feb. 3.
Available bets: Yes (-150), No (+110)
If the Patriots are crowned champions, it can be assumed they’ll visit the White House considering the relationship President Donald Trump has with several prominent members of the organization. It should be noted, though, that Trump cancelled the visit last year after several Eagles players voiced their disapproval of the polarizing president.
Available bets: Yes (-175), No (+135)
Mercedes-Benz Stadium is arguably one of the NFL’s most impressive from an engineering perspective, and there’s no doubt that the preference would be to show off the retractable roof to the world on Super Bowl Sunday. The NFL’s senior director of event operations Eric Finkelstein said as much in an interview with the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. But this will be entirely dependent on weather, and the early forecasts from the National Weather Service aren’t looking ideal, with a 40% chance of rain that evening and a low of 37 degrees.
Available bets: Yes (+155), No (-220)
While a flea flicker was attempted only five times total during the 2018 regular season, the Patriots pulled one out in their AFC Championship victory over the Chiefs. The Patriots also executed a flea flicker to perfection earlier in the season against the Packers—it would come as no surprise if Bill Belichick digs into his bag of tricks again.
Available bets: Yes (+105), No (-145)
Considering the rules protecting quarterbacks in the NFL, and the fact that one of the two starting quarterbacks in this game is making his ninth Super Bowl appearance, any contact high or low in the pocket is going to earn the passer the benefit of the doubt. With the Rams interior pass rush being spearheaded by the NFL’s sack leader Aaron Donald, and paired with infamous madman Ndamukong Suh, +105 odds for a roughing the passer call to take place seems like prop worth taking.
Available bets: Yes (-150), No (+110)
With the point spread being only a field goal in the Patriots' favor, and the difference between these two teams minimal, there’s a good chance this game could come down to who has the ball last. If oddsmakers are suggesting that a team playing from significantly behind is unlikely, then an onside kick may just not be in the cards. Plus, the new kickoff rules have made successful onside kicks nearly disappear. In the 2018 regular season, 52 onside kicks were attempted, with only four of them being recovered by the kicking team.
Available bets: Over 96 (-120), Under 96 (-120)
While Super Bowl advertisers undoubtedly have deep pockets, this is still a matter of cost. Prices for a 30-second ad climbed as high as $5 million last year, but that still may not deter major brands. There are already 26 companies that have purchased and reported plans to air at least one ad, so it is possible that those national spots, combined with local advertisements and promotional material from the NFL, could total in nearly 100 commercials.
Available bets: Turkish Airlines (-500), WeatherTech (+300)
We know a Turkish Airlines commercial will appear in the first quarter of the Super Bowl, which is why the odds skew heavily that direction. We also know WeatherTech is returning with a Super Bowl ad for the sixth consecutive year, but it hasn’t been announced when the commercial will air.
Available bets: Expensify (-200), TurboTax (Intuit) (+150)
TurboTax is also returning as a Super Bowl advertiser for the sixth straight year. Last season, a 60-second ad was split into two, with the conclusion of their original ad airing later in the third quarter of the game. Should they choose to do this again, there’s a good chance that a TurboTax commercial will air before halftime. As for Expensify, it has already been reported that they will run their first-ever television ad during the second quarter of the game.
Available bets: Avocados from Mexico (-120), Planters (Kraft Heinz) (-120)
This will be the fifth time that Avocados from Mexico will run a commercial during the Super Bowl. They’re slotted in for a spot during the second quarter of the game. Meanwhile, Kraft Heinz will feature their "Frozen Food Porn” ad, which debuted nationwide on Jan. 23 in a 60-second platform. The ad during the Super Bowl will feature a truncated 30-second version of the same commercial.
Available bets: Doritos (-135), Pringles (-105)
Doritos is back in the Super Bowl with a 30-second ad featuring Chance the Rapper and the Backstreet Boys, but there is no indication when the spot will air. Pringles released three teasers earlier this month for a new "flavor stacking” commercial that is slated to air during the second quarter of the game.
Available bets: Bubly (-120), Pepsi (-120)
A teaser for Bubly’s sparkling water ad, featuring singer Michael Buble, has already gone public. Bubly is a Pepsi product, and will be making its Super Bowl debut. Meanwhile, ads for Pepsi itself are a Super Bowl mainstay and they continue as the title sponsor of the Super Bowl halftime show. Pepsi’s Super Bowl commercial also has a sneak peek on the market, as the company continues to ramp up promotion of their invasion of Coke’s hometown of Atlanta.
Available bets: Audi (-200), Kia (+150)
Audi announced it will run a 60-second ad during the second quarter of the big game while Kia has a commercial airing as well. Both car manufacturers are returning to the Super Bowl for a 10th time—Kia is using the platform to launch a new scholarship while Audi is featuring a "go electric” theme.
Available bets: Hyundai (-400), Mercedes-Benz (+250)
Mercedes-Benz will be returning with a commercial this season, after sitting last year’s Super Bowl out. The luxury brand and title sponsor of the Super Bowl’s game site will be airing an ad, featuring Atlanta native Ludacris, but no details were released about what portion of the game that may take place in. Hyundai continues its run of Super Bowl commercials, and will be double-dipping this year with a pair of spots. They are a heavy favorite to air first, as it has been reported that their 30-second ad will air in the pre-game show, with a 60-second ad to follow in the first quarter.
Available bets: Budweiser (+150), Bud Light (+210), Stella Artois (+400), Michelob Ultra (+400), Bon & Viv Spiked Seltzer (+400)
Budweiser has already announced that their commercial during this Super Bowl will be a jam-packed 45 seconds featuring some classics. Meanwhile, details on all of their other beverage products that will have ads of their own are still not public. It is unclear if Bud Light will continue its run of medieval campaigns with the "Bud Knight” or call back on their "Dilly Dilly” campaign that took last year’s Super Bowl audience by storm. Stella Artois returns to the Super Bowl stage again, after a popular commercial featuring Matt Damon debuted their partnership with Water.org last year. Michelob Ultra countered with a light-hearted ad featuring Chris Pratt last year. Will he make a return?
Available bets: Coke or variants (-170), Pepsi or variants (+130)
Coca Cola is as entrenched in Atlanta as it gets, but Coke is not the official sponsor of the Super Bowl—that title belongs to Pepsi. With various lighthearted ads, Pepsi is making its presence in Atlanta and around the Super Bowl known, but oddsmakers still like the hometown company to beat the road team with an earlier ad during the game.
Available bets: Sony Michel (NE) (+500), Todd Gurley (LA) (+600), C.J. Anderson (LA) (+700), Brandin Cooks (LA) (+750), Robert Woods (LA) (+750), James White (NE) (+900), Julian Edelman (NE) (+900), Rob Gronkowski (NE) (+900), No touchdown scorer (+10,000)
This prop bet has a lot to do with the coin toss. The Patriots scored touchdowns on both of their opening drives during the postseason, so if they receive there’s a good chance a Pats player will punch one in. Running backs Sony Michel and James White have been used heavily as of late and are the favorites to score first for New England. The Rams haven’t scored a touchdown in the first quarter of either playoff game this year, but that’s not to say the league’s #2 scoring offense during the regular season can’t make an early splash. Todd Gurley was the Rams’ workhorse all season, but hasn’t scored this postseason.
Available bets: Sony Michel (NE) (+250), Julian Edelman (NE) (+400), James White (NE) (+450), Rob Gronkowski (NE) (+450), Rex Burkhead (NE) (+500), Chris Hogan (NE) (+800), Phillip Dorsett (NE) (+1,200), Cordarrelle Patterson (NE) (+2,500), No touchdown scorer (+2,500)
If the Patriots receive the opening kickoff, they may want to harken back on their game plans from both their AFC Divisional Playoff and AFC Championship game victories. Both of those games were opened with methodical drives that took over 7 minutes, and were punctuated with a Sony Michel touchdown run. For that reason, he is the clear favorite here. Julian Edelman only found the end zone six times in 2018 and in this postseason. The running backs have done almost all the damage, so even career touchdown machine Rob Gronkowski is a slight longshot to open up the scoring.
Available bets: C.J. Anderson (LA) (+300), Todd Gurley (LA) (+300), Brandin Cooks (LA) (+450), Robert Woods (LA) (+450), Josh Reynolds (LA) (+600), Tyler Higbee (LA) (+1,000), Gerald Everett (LA) (+1,200), Jared Goff (LA) (+4,000), No touchdown scorer (+2,000)
For a large portion of their NFC Championship game victory over the Saints, Todd Gurley was watching the Rams offense on the sidelines without having suffered any significant injury. His backfield mate C.J. Anderson has carried the bulk of the load in the playoffs, leading the team in rushing with 167 rushing yards to Gurley’s 125. Still, the Patriots counter with one of the best defensive units in terms of defending the goalline. They allowed only seven rushing scores all season, second behind the Bears. Perhaps coach Sean McVay will instead look to get Jared Goff in rhythm early to settle the Super Bowl jitters and not be reliant on Gurley, his greatest asset. Not to mention Bill Belichick is a mastermind at taking away any opponent’s greatest strength.
Available bets: Sony Michel (NE) (-225), Todd Gurley (LA) (-200), C.J. Anderson (LA) (-150), Brandin Cooks (LA) (-115), Robert Woods (LA) (-115), Julian Edelman (NE) (-115), James White (NE) (Even), Rob Gronkowski (NE) (Even), Rex Burkhead (NE) (+115), Josh Reynolds (LA) (+150)
These potent offenses spread the ball around as well as anyone in the league, which makes all of the touchdown prop bets enticing. Todd Gurley led the league with 21 regular season touchdowns, but Sony Michel is leading the the NFL in postseason touchdowns (5). C.J. Anderson is a hot pick with his recent workload after being signed late in 2018, while James White has become something of a security blanket for Tom Brady. White led the Patriots during the regular season with 12 total touchdowns.
Available bets: Over 5.5 (-230), Under 5.5 (+190), Over 6.5 (-135), Under 6.5 (+105), Over 7.5 (+155), Under 7.5 (-190)
Oddsmakers have the current point total set at 57.5, which means that Las Vegas is already expecting a high-scoring contest. The matchup features two of the NFL’s highest scoring teams from the regular season, which has also translated in the playoffs. With that being considered, each team finding the end zone at least three times seems like almost a certainty. Betting the over on 6.5 may just be a low-risk sweet spot for this game’s touchdown total.
Available bets: Over 2.5 (-230), Under 2.5 (+190), Over 3.5 (+105), Under 3.5 (-135), Over 4.5 (+250), Under 4.5 (-325)
The Rams and Patriots have delivered gaudy scoring totals this season, and were #2 and #3 in first half regular season scoring, respectively. The Patriots have controlled a good deal of clock in the first half of games this postseason, and the Rams started slow against the Saints before overcoming a 13-point deficit. Whether or not we’ll see multiple first half touchdowns could be determined by the amount of clock eaten up by the Pats, who have dominated time of possession in the postseason nearly 2:1.
Available bets: Over 1.5 (+135), Under 1.5 (-165)
As fast as the Patriots have been starting games this postseason, the Rams’ high-powered offense has been sputtering early on in playoff contests. Los Angeles has yet to score a first quarter touchdown, only netting three points in the first quarter thus far. It is also worth noting that while three touchdowns were scored between the Patriots and Chargers in the first quarter of their AFC Divisional Playoff game, New England has eaten up over half of the first quarter on each of their opening drives this postseason. Should they dictate that type of pace again to open the Super Bowl, the Rams may very well only get one possession before the opening 15 minutes run out. While a high point total is expected at the end of it all, it may take some settling in before the Rams are responding.
Available bets: Over 2.5 (-270), Under 2.5 (+210), Over 3.5 (-110), Under 3.5 (-120), Over 4.5 (+240), Under 4.5 (-300)
With the Patriots boasting the highest average point total this postseason (39) and the fourth highest point average in the regular season (27.3), it’s tough to imagine that they would not be able to find the end zone at least three times. The tempo of the game will dictate everything, as a Rams fast-paced attack could have the Patriots countering with quick strikes, thus putting a touchdown total near four well into play.
Available bets: Over 1.5 (-135), Under 1.5 (+105)
Last February, in Super Bowl LII, the Patriots could only muster one touchdown in the first half. It was a 26-yard touchdown run from James White that followed two Stephen Gostkowski field goals. But this postseason, New England’s ability to click on offense from the opening kickoff means that there’s a good chance they could leave last year’s early woes behind them.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (+105)
Believe it or not, the Patriots’ early struggles in Super Bowls was not only a problem last year against the Eagles, but the year prior against the Falcons as well. In Super Bowl LI, the Patriots failed to score at all in the first quarter while in last year’s Super Bowl LII loss, they were at least able to muster a field goal in the opening 15 minutes.
Available bets: Over 2.5 (-215), Under 2.5 (+175), Over 3.5 (+115), Under 3.5 (-145), Over 4.5 (+275), Under 4.5 (-350)
The Rams averaged 3.75 touchdowns per-game in the regular season, but only 2.5 touchdowns per-game during the postseason. Still, over 2.5 touchdowns in the game seems like a safe bet, which is why the odds are so unfavorable. Los Angeles has scored three or more touchdowns in all games except four including the playoffs.
Available bets: Over 1.5 (-115), Under 1.5 (-115)
Like so many of the first half prop bets, this should come down to who controls the majority of the clock throughout the first 30 minutes. The Rams have the ability to strike quickly, though, which makes this a tough one to call. L.A. scored two first half touchdowns in its 30-22 divisional round victory over the Cowboys, but only one first half touchdown in the overtime thriller against the Saints.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-115), Under 0.5 (-115)
As aforementioned, the Rams have yet to secure a first quarter touchdown this postseason. If the Rams don’t start with the ball, the over is obviously less likely to hit—the Patriots have done an expert job of controlling the clock throughout the first quarter of their two playoff victories.
Available bets: 0 (+10,000), 1 (+5,000), 2 (+2,500), 3 (+1,100), 4 (+750), 5 (+450), 6 (+450), 7 (+400), 8 (+600), 9 (+700), 10 or more (+400)
Again, the boys in the desert always know best and the setting of the point total for the game in the high 50s would suggest that this game could turn into a shootout. Two potent offenses that can find success in both the passing game and have shown that they can boast devastating rushing attacks this postseason should make for a touchdown total of at least six, though eight does not seem out of the realm of possibility.
Available bets: 0 (+2,200), 1 (+700), 2 (+350), 3 (+280), 4 (+300), 5 (+500), 6 or more (+450)
History would suggest that there is a good chance that Tom Brady will get the ball at some point in the fourth quarter with a chance to win the game. That vintage game-winning drive from Brady could swing this bet in a huge way, though we wouldn’t expect anything over the top like five or six touchdowns, as the Rams do counter with a defense that can, at the very least, force them to settle for field goals.
Available bets: 0 (+2,000), 1 (+600), 2 (+300), 3 (+280), 4 (+300), 5 (+550), 6 or more (+600)
The Rams have the NFL’s leader in touchdowns and so long as he is healthy, Todd Gurley should be fed the ball frequently. However, the Patriots do bring a solid scoring defense to the table, as they were seventh in the league in allowing only 20.3 points per game. Will Bill Belichick’s defensive genius be enough to keep the Rams out of the end zone more than three times? If the Rams continue their playoff trend of starting games slow, there is certainly a chance.
Available bets: Over 46.5 (-115), Under 46.5 (-115)
While the Patriots’ running game is solid, they are far from explosive. Their longest run of the regular season was a 34-yard scamper from Sony Michel, and with the Rams interior defensive line, that may not change come Super Bowl Sunday. As far as the passing attack, Phillip Dorsett’s reemergence, coupled with the occasional shot play to Chris Hogan or Cordarrelle Patterson is the best chance the Patriots have at being the team to get that explosive touchdown. The Rams can certainly hit the long ball, especially now with former Patriots receiver Brandin Cooks bringing elite speed to their wide receiving corps. But will they be able to catch the New England secondary in a mismatch or with one-on-one coverage against a speedster? Belichick putting his players in a bad position with two weeks to prepare seems like a rarity, though last year’s Super Bowl tape may be the best case against that.
Available bets: Patriots (-115), Rams (-115)
Between the two teams, the Rams have done more to earn the label of home run hitters. Brandin Cooks, Cooper Kupp, and Todd Gurley all had receptions of at least 50 yards this season. If the Rams are able to generate pressure on Tom Brady, the Patriots may be forced to become more of a "dink and dunk” team, which is something that they have proven that they can do at a high level. And should they do it all the way to a Super Bowl victory, it wouldn’t be the first time.
Available bets: Over 2.5 (-290), Under 2.5 (+230), Over 3.5 (-110), Under 3.5 (-120), Over 4.5 (+230), Under 4.5 (-290)
The Rams have averaged 3.5 successful field goals per game during this postseason while the Patriots have averaged 1.5 per game. Those numbers indicate that the over should be the way to go, especially if the game stays close. L.A. finished #3 in the regular season with 34 field goals made (2.125 per contest) while New England was middle of the pack with 1.69 field goals per game. Both teams rank near the top of the league in drive success rate, which calculates the percentage of downs that result in a first down or a touchdown. Depending on the pace of play and offensive success, more touchdowns usually means less field goals.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-450), Under 0.5 (+325), Over 1.5 (+105), Under 1.5 (-135), Over 2.5 (+325), Under 2.5 (-450)
While both teams have converted on their fair share of field goals throughout these playoffs, they’ve combined for only one total field goal in the first half. That makes this prop tricky no matter which way you decide to bet.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-120)
Neither team has kicked many first quarter field goals all season. Including the playoffs, the Rams sent the ball through the uprights just six times in 18 first quarters of football while the Patriots converted only four first quarter three-pointers.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-600), Under 0.5 (+400), Over 1.5 (-145), Under 1.5 (+115), Over 2.5 (+230), Under 2.5 (-290)
Stephen Gostkowski is one of the greatest, most reliable kickers in NFL history, but his field goal percentage is a bit down from last season. That said, he’s a perfect 3-of-3 this postseason with a long of 47 yards.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-145), Under 0.5 (+115)
If the Patriots offense is humming, which it has been throughout these playoffs, they’ll be scoring touchdowns and not kicking field goals. Their first half offense in the playoffs has been virtually unstoppable—they’ve scored seven total touchdowns and haven’t bothered attempting a field goal.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (+210), Under 0.5 (-270)
The Patriots have scored in the first quarter of each of their playoff victories this season, but as referenced in the previous slide, no scores have been field goals. Additionally, the Pats have converted only four first quarter field goals all season.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-600), Under 0.5 (+400), Over 1.5 (-125), Under 1.5 (-105), Over 2.5 (+250), Under 2.5 (-325)
Special teams has come up big for the Rams this postseason, as just last week, Greg Zuerlein hit a historic 57-yard game-winning field goal to beat the Saints and bring his postseason tally to seven makes on eight attempts. Zuerlein has proven more than trustworthy as of late, and if the pressures of playing in overtime in a raucous Mercedes-Benz Superdome didn’t rattle him, the Super Bowl stage may not either.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (-125), Under 0.5 (-105)
Almost all of Greg Zuerlein’s recent success has come in the second half or overtime, not the first half. Despite making two first half field goals against the Cowboys in the divisional round, he missed one from 29 yards. Against the Saints, three of his four field goals were in the second half or overtime.
Available bets: Over 0.5 (+250), Under 0.5 (-325)
The only first quarter scoring the Rams have done this postseason has been one field goal against the Cowboys during the divisional round. But including that kick, L.A. has only converted six total first quarter field goals all season.
Available bets: Over 45.5 yards (-110), Under 45.5 yards (-120)
Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein’s 57-yard field goal to beat the Saints is all the proof we needed that he is more than capable of blasting one straight through the uprights in a controlled environment. Mercedes-Benz Stadium will provide ideal conditions yet again. New England’s Stephen Gostkowski has been kicking more extra points than field goals these days, but he did connect on a 47-yarder in the playoffs, which was the only attempt over 40 yards for him.
Available bets: Patriots (-115), Rams (-115)
On field goals of at least 40 yards this regular season and postseason, Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski was 7-12, including a 40% success rate on his attempts of at least 50 yards. Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein had a few more looks from deep, and hit on 11 of his 18 attempts of 40 yards or more. His long in the regular season was 56 yards, beaten by his game-winner against the Saints of 57. If either kicker is going to bring the boom with their leg, it seems more likely that Zuerlein would be the one. He isn’t called "Greg the Leg” for nothing.
Available bets: 0 (+2,000), 1 (+700), 2 (+350), 3 (+280), 4 (+325), 5 (+450), 6 or more (+450)
Only twice in Super Bowl history has a team converted as many as four field goals. In Super Bowl II, Green Bay’s Don Chandler put the ball through the uprights four times, en route to the Packers' win over the Raiders. In Super Bowl XVI, 49ers kicker Ray Wersching tied Chandler’s record. The fact that four is an all-time record makes it obvious that going low on both individual numbers and this combined game total would be the safest bet. On top of that, in today’s high-scoring game, settling for field goals is a harbinger of a late-game collapse, and these teams have potent enough offenses to convert for six on their scoring drives, rather than three.
Available bets: 0 (+400), 1 (+185), 2 (+210), 3 (+400), 4 or more (+650)
Current Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein does happen to hold the franchise’s all-time record for successful field goals in a single game. Back in Week 4 of the 2017 season, Zuerlein drilled seven field goals in a 35-30 win over the Cowboys. In fact, Zuerlein is fresh off of a week where he notched another record, hitting the NFL’s longest game-winning field goal in postseason history. While he has been on fire, the Rams may go back to their risk-taking ways and be willing to go for it on fourth down more often, considering the quality of their opponent.
Available bets: 0 (+400), 1 (+200), 2 (+220), 3 (+350), 4 or more (+650)
From 2011–2016, Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski’s field goal percentage in playoff games was 100%, accumulated over 15 games in that span. His form in the 2017 postseason dipped a bit, as he missed two of his five attempts. Through two playoff games this season, he’s back on track, connecting on all of his attempts. Needless to say, he should be able to deliver if and when called upon in a big moment.